"That's an interesting theory," Lucas replies. "I certainly believe them capable of attempting such a thing if they thought it necessary for the good of their House or the Order of Hermes. So let's talk it out for a moment. What does House Tremere and the Order in general gain from a weaker House Mercere?"
"House Mercere is the grease that keeps the Order moving smoothly. Our bank eases financial bumps; our Redcap network keeps the lines of communication open; and our portal network allows rapid movement of magi. The Order is stronger because of House Mercere. And I'm not just spouting propaganda with that. What's more, with only nineteen Gifted magi, we're not considered a great threat to the Order."
"In the end, if House Mercere goes down, then the Order in general is weakened. House Tremere can see that and the other houses can see that. Tremere may have its blackcaps in Transylvania, but not in the rest of the continent. And we don't know what House Tremere withdrew its vis reserves for. They did just fight a war, and wars are expensive. Much of it may have been spent on that."
"Now, I'm not saying that there wasn't some plotting behind this mess. There may well have been. And House Tremere may well have been involved. I'll be very interested to see what the investigation of Isatella's death turns up. If it wasn't suicide then that leaves a lot of questions on the table. But we can't immediately assume House Tremere is responsible without some further evidence."
"If this was a plot, then what whoever was behind this gets is chaos within the Order. Frankly, that sounds more like a Tytalus plot to me than a Teremere one. Or a plot from someone outside the Order who wanted to weaken us. My point is, we need to investigate the bank failure and investigate the death of Insatella. Only once we have evidence can we come up with proper theories. It is a capital mistake to theorize before one has data. Insensibly one begins to twist facts to suit theories, instead of theories to suit facts."